Level 05

I have always been an unusual person one who did not fit into conventional society and one who has always thought outside of the box I did not do well with that when I was young started doing better with it when I was in my twenties and really well with it starting in my thirties when I walked away from conventional society shortly after I walked away from conventional society you tried to recruit me for the first time but I did not accept then I have learned a lot in the meantime I am now 53 so it has been 20 years on my new path and as a result of everything I learned – starting in my early twenties when I became a U.S. citizen and had to take a civics class to do so – I expressed skepticism about what Mark is trying to do to change the laws of the country I indicated in my response to level four that some of what he relentlessly talks about in his books simply can’t be done and as expressed at the end of that response that is why I am skeptical about his clubhouses I know Americans desperately want the political things to be done and that is why they are so enthusiastic about Mark’s efforts but they are simply unaware that they can’t be done the law does not support them it would take a revolution overturning the system and therefore the laws to get it done but that is precisely what Mark says he does not want he wants to do it peacefully but Mark put his theory his proposal together based on partial, incomplete information and what I know proves it cannot be done at least not the way he wants to do it and he will not like the way it will actually happen neither will most other Americans As noted above I became a U.S. citizen in my early twenties after being in this country for nearly twenty years I then started paying more attention to American society at the detail level and did not like what I saw I walked away when I was thirty, but from society, I stayed in the country I later found out that I did not lose my Canadian citizenship when I became a U.S. citizen so I still have it I was born in Canada to German parents I am a German first, though not a citizen because my parents chose to become Canadian citizens before I was born, including being fluent in the German language, I am a Canadian second, and an American third maybe that is why I am more realistic about what can be done and what can’t be done it may also help that my parents lived through Hitler in Germany so they know what really bad times can be like they were born in the 1920s and grew up under Hitler and all our family friends here in the states and Canada are actually people who became refugees from the lost eastern territories at the end of the war they lost everything and had to start completely over but we did not my parents came from the west of Germany they just left for Canada and met there and did not get around to going back to Germany as planned because they were tired of living in bombed out Germany after the war and wanted to see something new they were in their twenties and adventurous but we did not hit really good times until we came to the states and dad got a really good job that took advantage of all his skills and training he could not do that where he ended up in Canada it was too small a city still is and our friends who still live there who are still our closest friends ever are also refugees from the east of Germany who lost everything but were able to build up well where they are because he was trained as a carpenter and started his own business in construction and renovation they had just started that business, successfully, when we left so they decided to stay they still live in the same house that they bought more than 50 years ago a place that is like a second home to me they are also the people who served as my reference when I got a Canadian passport again the Canadian government did not even bother to call my second reference Canadian citizens here in the states who never became U.S. citizens and who were also refugees from the east of Germany who lost everything and who we met in Canada and who followed us to the states because the Canadian government knew I was for real when they called our friends in Canada in Saskatchewan where I was born and those friends immediately acknowledged that they know me have known me since I was born and recommended me for active passport status (my previous passport had expired long ago) (those friends have the same opinion of me that you say in your letters you do) I had my passport a few weeks later it always takes longer to get the passport if one is applying from outside the country that the passport is for but my main point here is that the people I just mentioned and others I did not mention including the German refugees we met in Saskatchewan who ended up in the states and then brought us here all have horrific stories all of which I know and lost everything on top of all the horror stories they can tell people like them know bad times and I have heard the stories too so my perspective is very different from the typical American and that is why I know that some of what Mark wants to do that most Neothink members are very enthusiastic about simply can’t be done what you wrote in your letters to me which started in March 2013 which does not match what is in Mark’s books except sometimes at the very end is what is going to happen apparently I knew that long before you did because of my background I will add that your videos are not helpful because they are from before the new direction I sense came into being so I am not really in a position to evaluate that because I do not have enough information by the way I will add I know Seattle well I lived in the area for 15 years and drove through Seattle many times and also drove around in town many times to get to places there, mainly Belltown/Lake Union where the Space Needle is also located and the Green Lake area, which are on either side of the ship canal also by the way I have found that the vast majority of Americans cannot handle any negativity that is why when I found out in July 2001 about the law against recessions passed by Congress in 1978 and patched it into the Kondratieff wave which I was an expert in in the meantime and still am I realized that the American authorities would simply push the system as hard as they could as far as they can until it just cant be pushed anymore which the Kondratieff wave virtually ensures is a point that we will reach and we are close to that in the meantime and then the system will crash and then most Americans will be experiencing maximum negativity by the way look upon the Kondratieff wave as a process it is not something that happens in a specific number of years that is why I was able to predict the downturn of 2008 in July 2001 when I found out about the law against recessions passed by Congress in 1978 which is called Humphrey-Hawkins you can look it up yourself if you want to I found out about it on the internet before the internet was public I would not have been able to find out about it the law expired in summer 2000 a year before I found out about it and that is why I was able to find out the following which I found out from another internet entry just after I found out about the law itself namely that when the law expired the American authorities decided they liked the results of the enforcement of the law up to that time basically up through the end of the 1990s so much that they decided to continue to enforce the law indefinitely into the future permanently I knew that can’t be done and so I immediately predicted a major stock market AND economic downturn unlike what happened in the early 2000s when only the stock market went down a lot for sometime in 2007-2010 the downturn happened right about in the middle of my anticipated time-frame bullseye and I also predicted that that downturn would be followed by a very slow recovery and that would be followed by a major new downturn that will at least ultimately, if not already sooner rather than later, be much worse than the downturn of 2008-2009 we are now in the transition between the slow upturn and the major new downturn either just past the peak or just ahead of it maybe even right in it and I was able to make these predictions two of the three of which have been successful already and the setup for the third of which is in fact in place in the meantime because the entire process I just described is part of an even bigger process that I am aware of that is why I said above that Marks theory, his proposal, is based on partial, incomplete information my info is something that most Americans are completely unaware of and don’t even want to know about because it involves negative information the Kondratieff wave consists of four phases growth, stagnation, plateau, and depression we are transitioning from the plateau phase of our current Kondratieff wave to the depression phase the plateau phase of our current Kondratieff wave started in 1982 nominally it should have ended with the crash of 1987 but the central bank kept things going this time under those circumstances it should have ended at the beginning of 2000 when the stock market went exponential the stock market crashed but the economy did not that set us up for the crash of 2008 but bear markets happen in three phases down up down we have had the first down part 2008-2009 the up part since 2009 the second down part is still to come notice how much harder it is as time goes on since 2000 for the central bank to keep things going? how much harder the central bank has to fight every time it has to get things going again or keep things going? this is no coincidence we should have gone into a depression in the year 2000 because we did not the first salvo came in 2008 the second salvo is still to come in effect we have been in a gigantic transition from the plateau phase of our current Kondratieff wave to the depression phase since 2000 I think we are at the tail end of that transition by the way the depression has to happen for the next true growth phase to be able to happen the plateau phase is a lower real growth phase after the partial downturn, the stagnation phase, that follows the growth phase it takes the depression to clean things out enough that a new solid growth phase can begin the growth phase of our current Kondratieff wave was from the late 1940s to the late 1960s but arguably from 1933 onward the stagnation phase of our current Kondratieff wave was the 1970s until 1982 and, no, economists in the English-speaking world do not have a clue about any of this the economists of the English-speaking world, which is British-based, only want to concentrate on avoiding recessions so they do not accept the Kondratieff wave I realized a long time ago that the psychology of the Kondratieff wave is such that it is real and cannot be avoided mass psychology is such that it will play itself out in the end even if there are attempts at preventing that from happening as there have been this time the central banks will simply ultimately not succeed how do I know? because although my degree is in electronics engineering and computer hardware and software I also studied economics in college and then found out about Austrian economics after college and studied that I have also studied psychology extensively in the meantime informally especially mass psychology but not formally although I do have some courses from Teaching Company now called Great Courses that I have not had time to watch yet hopefully sometime soon Mark says in his books that he does not know much about economics I do and I long ago embraced Austrian economics as Dr. Wallace did sometime in his life as well and that is why Dr. Wallace made the prediction that he did which was wrong because he did not know about the law against recessions I was making the same prediction as Dr. Wallace until I found out about the law against recessions in July 2001 then I made the prediction I stated above which turned out to be accurate and successful as I knew it would be all along once I made it because I knew what was really driving the issue Mark admits in the video that he is not a psychologist I am and contrary to the belief of the English-speaking-world economists economics is ultimately also driven by psychology, not mathematical models and equations by the way I am also extensively and formally trained in math so I have a perspective on that too and the fact that I have the insight that English-speaking-world economists do not is what enabled me to make the predictions discussed above predictions which were successful or will be, the one that has not happened yet, because the setup has come into being and is there in the meantime as I knew it eventually would be but most Americans can’t handle that and don’t want to know because it involves negativity and that is another reason why I am skeptical of the clubhouses as I have noted before already for other reasons